Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.756708 4.486178 5.299679 6.271246 7.396963 8.657091 10.171193
2025-08-17 2.598465 3.497362 4.605791 6.061424 7.909533 10.163380 13.103942
2025-08-24 1.975445 2.939192 4.230477 6.061427 8.560226 11.816453 16.338917
2025-08-31 1.566001 2.543603 3.950892 6.080456 9.167044 13.413594 19.616705
2025-09-07 1.252171 2.204122 3.666545 6.011691 9.595080 14.762217 22.642711
2025-09-14 0.973284 1.852411 3.290054 5.725610 9.635203 15.522110 24.860387
2025-09-21 0.808202 1.650711 3.107654 5.698398 10.039467 16.824220 27.953601
2025-09-28 0.677252 1.479936 2.943519 5.666783 10.414744 18.093046 31.077481
2025-10-05 0.624758 1.445244 3.008985 6.029689 11.470086 20.515005 36.189862
2025-10-12 0.557243 1.366016 2.977869 6.210305 12.222327 22.493058 40.723143
2025-10-19 0.508270 1.315294 2.991622 6.470835 13.133895 24.799623 45.954960
2025-10-26 0.441204 1.210159 2.879446 6.471982 13.565958 26.306958 49.930337
2025-11-02 0.362123 1.061232 2.656259 6.230674 13.531777 27.016739 52.631212
2025-11-09 0.298133 0.933795 2.457596 6.011045 13.512657 27.747775 55.422427
2025-11-16 0.258635 0.860165 2.367276 6.007692 13.918239 29.286750 59.771082
2025-11-23 0.226139 0.797560 2.291892 6.025545 14.365197 30.932255 64.421427
2025-11-30 0.194038 0.727499 2.185637 5.957020 14.619599 32.218869 68.475862
2025-12-07 0.157581 0.633304 1.999894 5.673156 14.374537 32.493053 70.599775
2025-12-14 0.136900 0.584115 1.924444 5.646137 14.692908 33.920394 75.057978
2025-12-21 0.118964 0.538917 1.851578 5.614770 14.995868 35.333959 79.573236
2025-12-28 0.115250 0.544483 1.925956 5.974738 16.243793 38.810996 88.454286
2026-01-04 0.106386 0.528028 1.932158 6.153900 17.077214 41.458927 95.788562
2026-01-11 0.100320 0.520978 1.966010 6.412343 18.124852 44.635204 104.390610